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The technology

The intelligence behind the alert.

When Promontora warns you, it is standing on two decades of global intelligence filtered through a multi-domain disruption taxonomy and a graph database that knows what your products are made of. Here is how much is working for you.

The engine

Two decades of the world, modeled.

Promontora is the supply-chain product built on the Ground Truth Labs' intelligence platform – the same engine that already analyzes the world's events at scale, now focused on your entire supply chain.

45M+

world events analyzed

21+

years of history modeled

2.9M+

facts in the knowledge graph

20,000+

reports analyzed every day

<5%

error rate in sampled review

<2%

mislocated events in review

Live platform metrics, as of June 2026; they grow every day. Accuracy figures are from a manual review sample – we publish the error bar, not just the wins.

The taxonomy

190+ ways a supply chain breaks – in one model.

Most tools track a handful of risk types. Promontora classifies real and emerging disruptions against a structured taxonomy of 190+ specific types across 16 domains – from a tailings-dam failure to a potential union strike to a rare-earth export ban – so a signal is never just "bad news," it's a carefully classified, scored, geolocated event.

Geopolitical & conflict

War, blockades, coups, chokepoint risk.

Weather, drought & harvests

Acute disasters and slow-onset shortfalls.

Disease & biosecurity

Human, animal and crop outbreaks.

Labor & workforce

Strikes, ballots, shortages, work-stoppages.

Policy, sanctions & trade

Export controls, tariffs, new legislation.

Markets & insolvency

Price shocks, supplier financial distress.

Corporate & structural

M&A, plant closures, single-source risk.

Minerals, energy & maritime

Scarcity, refining chokepoints, shipping lanes.

The sources

Built on the world's authoritative open data.

We fuse dozens of primary, mostly-open sources – the same data national agencies and central banks rely on – so the picture is auditable, not a black box.

Geopolitical GDELT · ACLED
Weather & disaster NOAA · Copernicus · GDACS · USGS
Crop & food FAO GIEWS · USDA · FEWS NET
Disease WHO · CDC · WOAH
Minerals & commodities USGS MCS · IEA · World Bank · LME
Maritime AIS · IMF PortWatch · UKMTO
Policy & sanctions Federal Register · OFAC · BIS · EUR-Lex
Markets SEC EDGAR · insolvency registers

The exposure graph

It knows what your products are made of.

This is the part no one else has. A disruption to a raw material propagates through a graph database – up the bill of materials, across the suppliers and shipping lanes that carry it – to the exact finished products it threatens, and to you.

01

Material

A signal hits a raw material or its refining step – a mine, a smelter, a crop region.

02

Carriers

The graph follows it through the suppliers, facilities and chokepoints that move it.

03

Products

It rolls up the bill of materials to every component and product that depends on it.

04

You

It reaches the customers whose declared chain touches that node – and only them.

The scoring

Every node scored 0–10, four ways.

We don't just flag that something happened – we quantify how fragile each material, supplier and lane is, on four independent axes, then multiply that standing fragility by the live threat to score your exposure.

Ubiquity

How many independent sources exist – from many to a single-country monopoly.

Obtainability

Trade controls, sanctions and price volatility that make it hard to actually get.

Susceptibility

Exposure to conflict, climate, chokepoints and depletion at the source.

Demand pressure

How many industries compete for it, and how violently price and supply swing.

Your call

You set the sensitivity.

Risk appetite isn't one-size-fits-all – so the dial is yours to set, by category and even by material. Turn it up to catch everything the moment it stirs; turn it down to hear only what we can stand behind completely.

Sensitivity up

Catch it early.

See every emerging risk as it surfaces – and accept that some won't pan out. The right setting for sole-source inputs and your most critical materials, where the disruption you miss is the one that hurts.

Confidence up

Only what we're certain of.

Receive only what we can corroborate with full confidence – no noise, every alert worth acting on. The right setting for stable, well-supplied categories you just need to keep an eye on.

Wherever you set the dial, the intelligence underneath is the same: every signal corroborated across independent sources, provenance- and as-of-stamped, and read in its original language – so you hear a disruption where it breaks, not days later in translation.

A living system

And it gets sharper every day.

The engine learns, the graph grows, and the sources expand. When you buy Promontora, you're buying the whole of it – at a price the mid-market can actually afford.